Disclosures

Last updated June 26, 2026

polydap is a monitoring tool. These disclosures explain what our data does and does not mean — please read them before acting on anything you see here.

Not financial or betting advice

polydap is for information and entertainment only. Nothing here is financial, investment, or betting advice or a recommendation to take any position. Do your own research and consider professional advice before making decisions.

Activity is not skill or profit

When we highlight a wallet or "big-money" flow, we are describing observable activity — its size, frequency, and recency — not the trader's skill, track record, or profitability. A large or frequent bettor is not necessarily a good one. Following or copying any wallet carries risk, and past activity does not predict future results.

What "market vs. big-money" means

Where we show a gap between the market price and a "big-money" price, the big-money figure is simply the volume-weighted price of the large/unusual trades we flagged on that market. It is a description of flow, not a valuation, fair-value estimate, or prediction of the outcome.

Data sources & accuracy

Market data is derived from Polymarket's public APIs and our own detection heuristics. It may be delayed (some sources cache for several minutes), incomplete, or inaccurate. Detection thresholds are judgment calls and will miss some events and flag some benign ones.

Prediction-market risk

Prediction markets involve real risk of loss and may be restricted or unavailable in some jurisdictions. You are responsible for complying with the laws that apply to you.

No affiliation

polydap is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or operated by Polymarket or any market it monitors.